Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002239 0.002368 0.002505 0.002661 0.002836 0.003028 0.003254
2025-02-02 0.002043 0.002222 0.002422 0.002665 0.002956 0.003299 0.003743
2025-02-09 0.001945 0.002160 0.002412 0.002732 0.003139 0.003655 0.004383
2025-02-16 0.001845 0.002081 0.002365 0.002741 0.003242 0.003913 0.004942
2025-02-23 0.001800 0.002060 0.002383 0.002825 0.003444 0.004330 0.005820
2025-03-02 0.001714 0.001980 0.002316 0.002789 0.003471 0.004495 0.006344
2025-03-09 0.001629 0.001895 0.002236 0.002723 0.003446 0.004571 0.006729
2025-03-16 0.001597 0.001876 0.002239 0.002774 0.003595 0.004946 0.007802
2025-03-23 0.001566 0.001854 0.002238 0.002814 0.003732 0.005326 0.009057
2025-03-30 0.001515 0.001804 0.002192 0.002785 0.003752 0.005496 0.009908
2025-04-06 0.001453 0.001737 0.002119 0.002709 0.003685 0.005487 0.010286
2025-04-13 0.001410 0.001692 0.002075 0.002674 0.003684 0.005610 0.011115
2025-04-20 0.001327 0.001593 0.001953 0.002517 0.003468 0.005280 0.010458
2025-04-27 0.001301 0.001571 0.001942 0.002533 0.003559 0.005615 0.012256
2025-05-04 0.001291 0.001570 0.001961 0.002598 0.003747 0.006215 0.015855
2025-05-11 0.001266 0.001548 0.001947 0.002608 0.003831 0.006600 0.019340
2025-05-18 0.001261 0.001552 0.001972 0.002685 0.004059 0.007436 0.028743
2025-05-25 0.001228 0.001517 0.001935 0.002651 0.004057 0.007639 0.034380
2025-06-01 0.001191 0.001474 0.001885 0.002592 0.003993 0.007641 0.038061
2025-06-08 0.001181 0.001469 0.001894 0.002638 0.004162 0.008438 0.067370
2025-06-15 0.001170 0.001462 0.001898 0.002675 0.004317 0.009283 0.174018
2025-06-22 0.001145 0.001435 0.001868 0.002648 0.004322 0.009581 0.466246
2025-06-29 0.001113 0.001395 0.001817 0.002579 0.004218 0.009410 0.650266